Thursday, December 28, 2023

Halfway

 All but four teams have played 19 games now.  Here's where it stands:



80 points is not going to win the league.  It's quite congested at the top (we'll talk about the bottom later), so the eventual winner will have to go on an almighty tear at some point, as City did last season with their 11 game winning streak to bury Arsenal.  Most pundits think they're the prime suspects to do just that, although Liverpool could attract some betting interest.  Arsenal has to be no better than third choice.  We're finding ways to drop points.  No club is afraid of us, nor should they be.  For all the "control" Arteta craves, his men just can't score enough goals to sustain a title charge.  Every squad has been hit with injury; no one can use that excuse.  At this point, a top four finish looks like the best I can hope for.

The relegation battle may be another free-for-all.  14th is just four points better than 18th.  There are some teams down there (Palace for instance) that on paper are too good to drop out of the EPL, but they play on grass.  Sheffield looks sure to be relegated, and Luton and Burnley may never get out of the drop zone, but lightning might strike and one of those could start winning.  34 points might do it this year.  

4 comments:

  1. Palace is in free fall. I'm not sure if and when they will bottom out, but hopeful for at least a mild recovery at some point, before it is too late

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Huge game right now vs Brentford. Palace up by two goals at 66'

      Delete
  2. Arsenal,'s loss to Fulham has to hurt. Liverpool coming up next gives Arsenal a chance to either recover or take a deeper dive.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'll post on this tomorrow. But what hurts is that Arsenal was thoroughly outplayed by West Ham and Fulham. We were lucky to draw with Liverpool last time. We'll probably lose and drop out of top four.

      Delete